Noodles Company Stock Performance

NDLS Stock  USD 0.50  0.01  2.04%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.34, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Noodles will likely underperform. At this point, Noodles Company has a negative expected return of -0.33%. Please make sure to verify Noodles' jensen alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Noodles Company performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Noodles Company has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's essential indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:8
Last Split Date
2026-02-18
1
Noodles Company Shares Cross Below 200 Day Moving Average Heres What Happened
11/14/2025
2
Activist Investor Buys 6 percent of Noodles Company Stock, Plus More Bold Deals - franchisetimes.com
12/09/2025
3
Noodles Company Announces Preliminary Revenue Results for the Fourth Quarter of 2025
01/12/2026
4
Popular restaurant chain to close more locations after shutting down dozens in 2025
01/13/2026
5
Noodles Company expected to close more than two dozen locations in 2026
01/14/2026
6
Maruchan Unveils Saucy Noods Creamy, Spicy, and Seriously Saucy Stir-Fry Style Noodles
01/15/2026
7
Noodles Company to close more restaurants after major cutbacks in 2025
01/16/2026
8
Peets Coffee is closing several stores this month
01/21/2026
9
Noodles Company Announces Plans For 1-for-8 Reverse Stock Split Effective February 18, 2026
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash FlowM
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-26.7 M

Noodles Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  67.00  in Noodles Company on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (17.00) from holding Noodles Company or give up 25.37% of portfolio value over 90 days. Noodles Company is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.7347% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 51% of stocks are less volatile than Noodles, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Noodles is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.38 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Noodles Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Noodles Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.50 90 days 0.50 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Noodles to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Noodles Company probability density function shows the probability of Noodles Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.34 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Noodles will likely underperform. Additionally Noodles Company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Noodles Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Noodles

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Noodles Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.516.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.816.54
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.591.751.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.08-0.08-0.08
Details

Noodles Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Noodles is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Noodles' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Noodles Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Noodles within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Noodles Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Noodles for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Noodles Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Noodles Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Noodles Company has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Noodles Company has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Noodles Company currently holds 291.5 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.43, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Noodles Company has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Noodles' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 493.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.62 M.
Noodles Company has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 12.0% of Noodles outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Noodles Company Announces Plans For 1-for-8 Reverse Stock Split Effective February 18, 2026

Noodles Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Noodles Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Noodles' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Noodles' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 M

Noodles Fundamentals Growth

Noodles Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Noodles, and Noodles fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Noodles Stock performance.

About Noodles Performance

Assessing Noodles' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Noodles' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Noodles is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 10.64  7.66 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.13)(0.12)
Return On Capital Employed(0.11)(0.12)
Return On Assets(0.13)(0.12)
Return On Equity 5.84  6.13 

Things to note about Noodles Company performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Noodles for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Noodles Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Noodles Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Noodles Company has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Noodles Company has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Noodles Company currently holds 291.5 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.43, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Noodles Company has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Noodles' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 493.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (36.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.62 M.
Noodles Company has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 12.0% of Noodles outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Noodles Company Announces Plans For 1-for-8 Reverse Stock Split Effective February 18, 2026
Evaluating Noodles' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Noodles' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Noodles' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Noodles' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Noodles' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Noodles' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Noodles' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Noodles' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Noodles' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Noodles' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Noodles' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Noodles Stock Analysis

When running Noodles' price analysis, check to measure Noodles' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Noodles is operating at the current time. Most of Noodles' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Noodles' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Noodles' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Noodles to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.